Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
LLA
3 - 3
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CEF
3 - 2
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
CEF
3 - 7
OSW
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 6
CEF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 0
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
ABE
6 - 0
OSW
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
LID
4 - 3
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
ABE
2 - 0
CWM
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2001 |
ABE
5 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
ABE
0 - 2
HAV
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |