Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LLA
2 - 1
CEF
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
RHY
2 - 0
CEF
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 2
CWM
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BAN
1 - 3
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
RHA
0 - 3
ABE
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
LLA
5 - 0
ABE
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |