Rafelcofer vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafelcofer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JAV
2 - 0
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 4
DEN
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOU
4 - 1
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 3
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
RAF
1 - 1
UEG
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
PEG
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
BEN
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JAV
0 - 0
PEG
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEG
0 - 0
LAL
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DEN
4 - 3
PEG
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |