CEF Flamengo vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
5 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
4 - 2
ECJ
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
FAR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
PEL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
PEL
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 2
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |