El Verger vs Real Safor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ORB
1 - 0
VER
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 2
VER
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 5
VER
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VER
4 - 0
GAN
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Safor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 2
BEL
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
RSA
63%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
3 - 1
DAI
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CLG
1 - 0
RSA
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 0
BEN
72%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |