El Verger vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DAI
3 - 1
VER
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
CFB
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
VER
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
GAN
27%
20%
52%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VER
1 - 4
GOR
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
CDC
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ATH
7 - 1
MIR
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
SIM
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
JAV
1 - 1
MIR
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
MIR
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |