El Verger vs Ath. La Vall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
VER
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
JAV
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 1
VER
40%
22%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
GAN
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DAI
2 - 1
VER
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ath. La Vall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDC
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 0
GOR
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 2
ATH
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UDO
0 - 0
ATH
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 1
TAV
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |