Ceará vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
CEA
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOI
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
COT
1 - 2
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |