Ceará vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
23%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
CEA
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
1 - 3
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
LON
1 - 2
CEA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
JOS
0 - 2
SAM
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
COR
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
SAM
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAM
12%
20%
67%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAR
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |