Ceará vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
JMA
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 3
CEA
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
BOV
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
6 - 0
QUI
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
QUI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIM
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
QUI
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |