Ceará vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEA
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CEA
2 - 0
PPE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CEA
1 - 2
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CEA
3 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 1
FOR
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |