Ceará vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOA
4 - 1
CEA
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRB
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
3 - 1
CRI
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 2
CEA
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
FFL
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
NAU
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |