Ceará vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CEA
2 - 0
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
AMF
3 - 0
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
XVD
2 - 1
CEA
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
CEA
0 - 1
CRB
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
CEA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VIL
3 - 2
NAU
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
3 - 2
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 2
AMF
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |