Ceará vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
CEA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 1
SAM
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
CEA
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
AVA
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
1 - 0
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
LUV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 1
PAY
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
LUV
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |