Ceará vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
CEA
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
VAS
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |