Ceará vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 1
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |