Ceará vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
CEA
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |