Ceará vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
TIR
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAM
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
ALT
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |