Ceará vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
GOI
1 - 0
CEA
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
CEA
5 - 0
ASA
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
BOT
2 - 1
CEA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
OPE
0 - 0
CEA
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
AMF
1 - 1
CEA
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
NOR
2 - 1
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
MOT
0 - 1
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
FOR
2 - 0
FLA
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |