Ceará vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
3 - 0
RIV
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
40%
31%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 1
CEA
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
ARN
2 - 0
CEA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
CEA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
4 - 1
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 1
ARN
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
30%
31%
40%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 0
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |