Ceará vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
59%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CEA
12%
21%
68%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
2 - 2
CSA
10%
20%
71%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 5
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |