Ceará vs Caucaia EC analysis

Ceará Caucaia EC
75 ELO 32
-7.8% Tilt -19.8%
128º General ELO ranking 5976º
Country ELO ranking 245º
ELO win probability
86.7%
Ceará
10.6%
Draw
2.7%
Caucaia EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
Ceará
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
2.7%
Win probability
Caucaia EC
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ceará
Caucaia EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2020
OES
Oeste
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
22%
26%
52%
75 60 15 0
15 Feb. 2020
CEA
Ceará
2 - 2
Bahía
BAH
40%
28%
32%
75 80 5 0
12 Feb. 2020
BPA
Bragantino PA
1 - 2
Ceará
CEA
6%
13%
81%
75 47 28 0
08 Feb. 2020
ABC
ABC
0 - 0
Ceará
CEA
20%
25%
55%
75 58 17 0
06 Feb. 2020
PAC
Pacajus
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
4%
11%
85%
75 41 34 0

Matches

Caucaia EC
Caucaia EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2020
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 1
Guarany de Sobral
GUA
18%
21%
61%
33 47 14 0
01 Feb. 2020
BAR
Barbalha
2 - 1
Caucaia EC
CAU
60%
21%
20%
34 45 11 -1
29 Jan. 2020
CAU
Caucaia EC
0 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
3%
8%
89%
34 78 44 0
25 Jan. 2020
UNI
Atlético Cearense
2 - 1
Caucaia EC
CAU
63%
19%
18%
35 45 10 -1
23 Jan. 2020
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
1 - 1
Caucaia EC
CAU
60%
21%
19%
34 48 14 +1