Ceará vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 2
CEA
23%
28%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 3
CEA
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 1
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
CRB
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
CEA
9%
22%
70%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 2
BOT
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
5 - 0
VOL
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |