Ceará vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
CEA
39%
26%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CEA
0 - 0
VAS
21%
26%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEA
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
LUV
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
AVA
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 3
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 0
AVA
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
LON
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |