Ceará vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 1
CEA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
ABC
5 - 0
SER
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
ABC
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 2
COR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COR
1 - 5
ABC
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |