Ceará U23 vs Vila Nova U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
CEA
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 0
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 5
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |