Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Ceará U23 vs Fortaleza U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 1
CEA
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
FFC
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
ECB
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
RBB
0 - 1
FOR
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
RBB
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ECB
0 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |