Ceará U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
ECB
1 - 0
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
CEA
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
RBB
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLU
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |