Mercantil U19 vs Espanyol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
62
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MLL
0 - 1
CEM
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEM
0 - 2
FCB
10%
14%
77%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
CEM
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 1
CFD
18%
20%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 1
UDC
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RCD
0 - 0
RCZ
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 2
RCD
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RCD
3 - 1
CEC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 2
RCD
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
RCD
1 - 2
CEC
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |