Farners vs San Juan At. M. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 1
CEF
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
CFL
42%
26%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GIR
4 - 0
CEF
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 2
UEA
58%
23%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
0 - 0
CEF
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Juan At. M.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIC
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TON
0 - 2
SAN
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 1
SAN
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |