Farners vs Lloret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GIR
0 - 1
CEF
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 2
SAB
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UEL
1 - 0
CEF
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
5 - 2
CFM
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lloret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CFL
1 - 2
SAB
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CFM
2 - 1
CFL
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CFL
3 - 0
JUP
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEV
1 - 1
CFL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CFL
2 - 0
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |