Cinctorra vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ORP
1 - 1
CIN
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
4 - 3
SAL
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 3
CIN
52%
21%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 5
ALB
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ATZ
1 - 0
CIN
55%
22%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 2
ATZ
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ORP
1 - 4
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAL
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |