Cinctorra vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CLU
3 - 1
CIN
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 2
CIN
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 2
VIL
39%
22%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CIN
4 - 2
BEN
32%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
CIN
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 4
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
VIL
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAL
22%
22%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 4
PEN
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 0
VIL
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |