A. Promeses A vs Navarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Promeses A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALB
30%
22%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALB
23%
20%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 1
OLL
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
XAT
0 - 5
ALB
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ALB
6 - 0
CAN
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Navarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 3
UDC
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GEN
5 - 3
NAV
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 5
MON
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 2
ANN
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |