A. Promeses A vs Genoves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Promeses A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 6
ALB
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALB
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
8 - 0
FEN
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
ALB
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Genoves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
GEN
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
5 - 0
FEN
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
GEN
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
5 - 1
ANN
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |