A. Promeses A vs Carcer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Promeses A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 3
ALB
27%
21%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
FDF
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 5
ALB
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
EMF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 3
ALB
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
UDC
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 3
CAR
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
MON
69%
16%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
XAT
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 1
CAR
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |