Real Oruro vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
10º
16º
13º
6
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 37 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 37 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 33 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 22 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 16 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 9 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
DRT
3 - 2
REO
66%
22%
12%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
REO
1 - 2
STR
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DGV
0 - 0
REO
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
REO
2 - 2
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
REO
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
JWI
1 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
OPE
2 - 0
JWI
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
JWI
0 - 0
DRT
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
JWI
0 - 2
UDV
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 1
JWI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |