CDSC Iberia vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDSC Iberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IBE
1 - 0
RTI
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
USF
3 - 1
IBE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IBE
1 - 0
UEI
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DCO
1 - 3
IBE
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
IBE
5 - 2
CCI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OHI
4 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
UCO
5%
13%
82%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
ANT
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |