Cruz Azul vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATS
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CAÑ
2 - 3
CAZ
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
CAZ
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAÑ
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CAÑ
2 - 3
CAZ
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 2
CAÑ
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |