Cruz Azul vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 0
ZAC
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 3
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
3 - 2
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 3
MOR
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |