Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CFS
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAZ
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
4 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
3 - 5
CAÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 2
UAP
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
57%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOL
4 - 0
LOB
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |