Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 3
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAZ
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 1
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 0
LOB
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |