Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DOR
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
52%
27%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VER
3 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
QRO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |