Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
2 - 2
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
CSH
1 - 2
CAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOL
5 - 1
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |