Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ALT
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 3
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
CAZ
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 3
TOL
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |