Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 0
CAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 1
CAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |