Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 1
CAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 3
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 3
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
CUC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |