Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAZ
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAZ
4 - 2
VER
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ATS
1 - 0
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIG
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |