Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis

Cruz Azul Toluca
84 ELO 82
2.5% Tilt 4%
322º General ELO ranking 329º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63%
Cruz Azul
19.8%
Draw
17.2%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
Toluca
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cruz Azul
+24%
+24%
Toluca

ELO progression

Cruz Azul
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2002
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
44%
24%
32%
84 81 3 0
11 Apr. 2002
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 1
León
LEO
79%
13%
8%
84 70 14 0
07 Apr. 2002
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
37%
24%
40%
84 78 6 0
30 Mar. 2002
PUE
Puebla
2 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
84 72 12 0
23 Mar. 2002
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 5
Reboceros de la Piedad
REB
79%
13%
8%
84 69 15 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2002
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Reboceros de la Piedad
REB
72%
16%
12%
82 73 9 0
06 Apr. 2002
TOL
Toluca
5 - 1
Atlas FC
ATS
61%
20%
20%
81 78 3 +1
30 Mar. 2002
AUR
Atl. San Luis
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
28%
27%
45%
82 70 12 -1
23 Mar. 2002
TOL
Toluca
3 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
55%
22%
23%
81 82 1 +1
17 Mar. 2002
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 2
Toluca
TOL
54%
22%
23%
81 80 1 0