Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 1
PUM
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
CAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
TIG
5 - 4
CAL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SNL
0 - 0
TIG
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 2
NEC
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
TIG
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |